منابع مشابه
Give chance a chance
How did I get to become a cell biologist? Or, more generally, why do things happen the way they do? The answer provided by the philosopher Democritus and later adopted by Jacques Monod is "everything existing in the universe is the fruit of chance and necessity." While I read Monod's book Chance and Necessity as an undergraduate student, little did I appreciate the accuracy of this citation and...
متن کاملProbability, chance and the probability of chance
In our day-to-day discourse on uncertainty, words like belief, chance, plausible, likelihood and probability are commonly encountered. Often, these words are used interchangeably, because they are intended to encapsulate some loosely articulated notions about the unknowns. The purpose of this paper is to propose a framework that is able to show how each of these terms can be made precise, so th...
متن کاملDeterministic Chance
I argue that there are non-trivial objective chances (that is, objective chances other than 0 and 1) even in deterministic worlds. The argument is straightforward. I observe that there are probabilistic special scientific laws even in deterministic worlds. These laws project nontrivial probabilities for the events that they concern. And these probabilities play the chance role and so should be ...
متن کاملDeterministic Chance?
Can there be deterministic chance? That is, can there be objective chance values other than 0 or 1, in a deterministic world? I will argue that the answer is no. In a deterministic world, the only function that can play the role of chance is one that outputs just 0s and 1s. The role of chance involves connections from chance to credence, possibility, time, intrinsicness, lawhood, and causation....
متن کاملIllusory Chance
Despite concerted efforts by Carnap and others, including recently by Jon Williamson in an objective Bayesian setting, no satisfying philosophical justification for learning from experience has been produced thus far. I contend that finitude constraints imposed by our world on even otherwise-ideal agents suggest a new epistemic principle, Illusory Chance, which provides justification for learni...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: MMW - Fortschritte der Medizin
سال: 2016
ISSN: 1438-3276,1613-3560
DOI: 10.1007/s15006-016-8428-1